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Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 11:40

STANLEY HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 3 ("STANLEY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOLMES A COURT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D Eustace, won, with GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP second and KING OBERON third. The 3.3 favourite SILVER SPURS finished 12th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #9 JOLLY COMPANION — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 HOLMES A COURT V-/B2/TT- 1:09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D Eustace 6 13.0
2 11 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting 7 10.0 1/2
3 5 KING OBERON B Z Purton · D J Whyte 9 8.0 3/4
4 3 BULLISH NOVA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 10.0 1-1/2
5 12 RISING ELITE B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 9.3 2-1/4
6 9 JOLLY COMPANION V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 4 5.8 3
7 6 MEGA AWESOME CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 29.0 4-3/4
8 7 HEROIC VANGUARD TT A Badel · C H Yip 3 12.0 4-3/4
9 2 AMAZING VICTORY CP/TT J Orman · C W Chang 11 22.0 5
10 1 SUNNY DA BEST TT H Bentley · W Y So 10 28.0 5
11 4 WORD OF KINDNESS TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 5 21.0 6-1/4
12 10 SILVER SPURS TT J Moreira · C Fownes 12 3.3 6-3/4
0 DIAMOND SPARKLE · M Newnham
0 SUPERB SPIRIT XB · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HOLMES A COURT2. GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP+0.5L3. KING OBERON+0.75L4. BULLISH NOVA+1.5L5. RISING ELITE+2.25L6. JOLLY COMPANION+3L7. MEGA AWESOME+4.75L8. HEROIC VANGUARD+4.75L9. AMAZING VICTORY+5L10. SUNNY DA BEST+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BULLISH NOVA (19.5%) finished 4th — the winner HOLMES A COURT was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 BULLISH NOVA 19.5% 5.13 4
2 10 SILVER SPURS 16.7% 5.99 12
3 9 JOLLY COMPANION 16.2% 6.16 6
4 5 KING OBERON 9.1% 10.96 3
5 8 HOLMES A COURT 8.7% 11.46 1
6 11 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP 5.6% 18.00 2
7 2 AMAZING VICTORY 4.9% 20.61 9
8 1 SUNNY DA BEST 4.3% 23.13 10
9 12 RISING ELITE 4.1% 24.22 5
10 7 HEROIC VANGUARD 3.9% 25.66 8
11 4 WORD OF KINDNESS 3.7% 27.16 11
12 6 MEGA AWESOME 3.3% 30.42 7
BULLISH NOVASILVER SPURSJOLLY COMPANIONKING OBERONHOLMES A COURT — wonGOLDEN FRIENDSHIPAMAZING VICTORYSUNNY DA BESTRISING ELITEHEROIC VANGUARDWORD OF KINDNESSMEGA AWESOME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 137

PLACE

5 27.5

8 40.5

11 34.5

QUINELLA

8,11 781.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 184.5

5,11 172.5

8,11 281.5

FORECAST

8,11 1,533

TIERCE

8,11,5 11,158

TRIO

5,8,11 2,281

FIRST 4

3,5,8,11 7,219

QUARTET

8,11,5,3 204,493

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

6>1,4,7,9/5,8,11 79,102

2ND DOUBLE

1,4,9/8 350.5

1,4,9/11 72.5