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Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 14:50

WEST KOWLOON HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 9 ("WEST KOWLOON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TARGET AUDIENCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with FLYING WROTE second and MOTOR third. The 3.8 favourite FLYING WROTE finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #5 EVER LUCK — Code 96 #5 EVER LUCK — Jockey Change #5 EVER LUCK — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 TARGET AUDIENCE TT 1:09.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 2 4.3
2 1 FLYING WROTE TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 4 3.8 1-3/4
3 4 MOTOR B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 10 10.0 1-3/4
4 6 STORMING DRAGON B/TT A Badel · J Richards 1 5.0 3
5 12 ARGENTO OCEAN B B Avdulla · D J Whyte 9 6.4 3
6 3 NORTHERN FIRE BALL TT P N Wong · C H Yip 12 27.0 4-1/2
7 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS E E Brown · J Size 5 11.0 4-3/4
8 8 SUGAR GOODSON TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum 11 85.0 6-1/4
9 5 EVER LUCK B J Orman · M Newnham 8 11.0 9-1/2
10 10 VIGOR HAPPINESS H H T Mo · Y S Tsui 6 137.0 15-3/4
11 9 KANSAS CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes 3 80.0 16
12 7 DASHING BASICS PC-/TT2 K C Leung · P C Ng 7 47.0 18
0 FLYING FORTRESS CP/XB/TT · W K Mo
WV 5 SPORTS LEGEND B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TARGET AUDIENCE2. FLYING WROTE+1.75L3. MOTOR+1.75L4. STORMING DRAGON+3L5. ARGENTO OCEAN+3L6. NORTHERN FIRE BALL+4.5L7. LIFELINE EXPRESS+4.75L8. SUGAR GOODSON+6.25L9. EVER LUCK+9.5L10. VIGOR HAPPINESS+15.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TARGET AUDIENCE (26.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 TARGET AUDIENCE 26.4% 3.78 1
2 6 STORMING DRAGON 22.3% 4.49 4
3 4 MOTOR 9.8% 10.19 3
4 1 FLYING WROTE 9.1% 11.01 2
5 3 NORTHERN FIRE BALL 7.8% 12.75 6
6 5 EVER LUCK 6.5% 15.31 9
7 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS 6.1% 16.31 7
8 12 ARGENTO OCEAN 5.0% 19.90 5
9 8 SUGAR GOODSON 2.5% 39.59 8
10 7 DASHING BASICS 1.8% 54.48 12
11 9 KANSAS 1.6% 61.72 11
12 10 VIGOR HAPPINESS 0.9% 112.04 10
TARGET AUDIENCE — wonSTORMING DRAGONMOTORFLYING WROTENORTHERN FIRE BALLEVER LUCKLIFELINE EXPRESSARGENTO OCEANSUGAR GOODSONDASHING BASICSKANSASVIGOR HAPPINESS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 43

PLACE

1 14.5

4 27.5

11 17

QUINELLA

1,11 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 64

1,11 34

4,11 80.5

FORECAST

11,1 152

TIERCE

11,1,4 1,240

TRIO

1,4,11 265

FIRST 4

1,4,6,11 176

QUARTET

11,1,4,6 3,605

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

5/8/1 515

5/8/11 3,052

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,8,12/1,4,11 5,199

8TH DOUBLE

8/1 14.5

8/11 91.5

SIX UP

3,5/3,12/4,8/5,11/8,12/1,11 23,304

3/12/8/5/8/11 547,863

2 [A S Cruz]

4 [Z Purton]