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Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 13:15

OWL HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 11 ("OWL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. BABY SAKURA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with SUPER EXPRESS second and THE RED HARE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.74 Hammer 8.56

Result

Official · 1:22.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 BABY SAKURA Closed strongly TT 1:22.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 4.6
2 3 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly B-/P1/TT H Bowman · J Size 3 3.0 3/4
3 4 THE RED HARE H/P/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 9 17.0 3/4
4 8 LOVERO L Hewitson · B Crawford 13 61.0 1-1/2
5 7 AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P C Ng 2 3.9 1-3/4
6 13 HAPPY BOSS CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 14 17.0 1-3/4
7 14 CONRAD PATCH Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 7 23.0 3-1/2
8 9 PERFECTDAY B/TT J Orman · W Y So 1 7.9 4-1/4
9 10 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 10 53.0 5-1/2
10 11 MEGASTAR HEART Led early E Brown · C Fownes 11 36.0 5-3/4
11 6 PASS LINE Closed strongly B- P N Wong · D J Hall 6 93.0 7-1/4
12 1 DRAGON AIR FORCE TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 4 61.0 8-3/4
13 2 AKASHVANI B B Avdulla · D A Hayes 8 41.0 10
14 5 BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 125.0 18-1/4
0 RIDING TOGETHER V2/TT · D Eustace
0 PRAY FOR JUSTICE CP · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BABY SAKURA2. SUPER EXPRESS+0.75L3. THE RED HARE+0.75L4. LOVERO+1.5L5. AEROVOLANIC+1.75L6. HAPPY BOSS+1.75L7. CONRAD PATCH+3.5L8. PERFECTDAY+4.25L9. YUEN LONG ELITE+5.5L10. MEGASTAR HEART+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER EXPRESS (23.5%) finished 2nd — the winner BABY SAKURA was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SUPER EXPRESS 23.5% 4.26 2
2 7 AEROVOLANIC 21.9% 4.56 5
3 12 BABY SAKURA 12.4% 8.10 1
4 9 PERFECTDAY 8.6% 11.58 8
5 14 CONRAD PATCH 6.2% 16.18 7
6 13 HAPPY BOSS 4.8% 21.04 6
7 4 THE RED HARE 4.5% 22.05 3
8 1 DRAGON AIR FORCE 4.0% 24.76 12
9 10 YUEN LONG ELITE 2.9% 34.07 9
10 2 AKASHVANI 2.7% 36.53 13
11 11 MEGASTAR HEART 2.7% 36.60 10
12 8 LOVERO 2.4% 41.20 4
13 6 PASS LINE 1.9% 51.52 11
14 5 BEAUTY CRESCENT 1.3% 74.13 14
SUPER EXPRESSAEROVOLANICBABY SAKURA — wonPERFECTDAYCONRAD PATCHHAPPY BOSSTHE RED HAREDRAGON AIR FORCEYUEN LONG ELITEAKASHVANIMEGASTAR HEARTLOVEROPASS LINEBEAUTY CRESCENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 46.5

PLACE

3 13.5

4 41.5

12 18.5

QUINELLA

3,12 68.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 90

3,12 32

4,12 130

FORECAST

12,3 170

TIERCE

12,3,4 1,448

TRIO

3,4,12 275

FIRST 4

3,4,8,12 2,218

QUARTET

12,3,4,8 27,805

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

2/3 25.5

2/12 255.5

2ND TREBLE

10/2/3 197

10/2/12 2,400

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,8,11/3,4,12 7,479

SIX UP

1/3/2/10/2/12 597,309

1,11/3,6/2,7/3,10/2,8/3,12 1,866

1 [K W Lui]

7 [E Brown]