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Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 11:05

ANSER HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 7 ("ANSER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPERB SPIRIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with LUCRATIVE EIGHT second and ISLAND BUDDY third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.74 Hammer 8.56 #8 LEAN FLYER — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:09.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 SUPERB SPIRIT XB 1:09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 2 1.7
2 6 LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 5.5 1-1/4
3 1 ISLAND BUDDY CP C L Chau · B Crawford 1 8.7 2-1/2
4 12 LIGHTNING ACE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 12 144.0 4-1/4
5 9 STAR OF HEARTS Y L Chung · P C Ng 8 147.0 5
6 7 INCREDIBLE MOMENT R Kingscote · M Newnham 10 29.0 5
7 10 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B-/TT M F Poon · D J Hall 6 29.0 5-1/2
8 4 MABUBU TT J Orman · W Y So 11 12.0 6-1/2
9 5 SIGHT DREAMER TT H Bowman · J Size 9 15.0 6-3/4
10 8 LEAN FLYER E Brown · C H Yip 3 23.0 14-1/2
11 11 ABSOLUTE LUCKY TT H Y Yuen · C S Shum 5 34.0 14-3/4
12 2 REAL GENTLEMAN H/TT K C Leung · K L Man 4 28.0 24
0 JUSTIFYING XB · C Fownes
0 FOREVER LIFE B1/TT1 · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB SPIRIT2. LUCRATIVE EIGHT+1.25L3. ISLAND BUDDY+2.5L4. LIGHTNING ACE+4.25L5. STAR OF HEARTS+5L6. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+5L7. FORTUNE SUPERNOVA+5.5L8. MABUBU+6.5L9. SIGHT DREAMER+6.75L10. LEAN FLYER+14.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPERB SPIRIT (43.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SUPERB SPIRIT 43.3% 2.31 1
2 6 LUCRATIVE EIGHT 14.1% 7.12 2
3 5 SIGHT DREAMER 7.7% 12.94 9
4 1 ISLAND BUDDY 5.8% 17.13 3
5 7 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 5.4% 18.41 6
6 4 MABUBU 5.4% 18.62 8
7 8 LEAN FLYER 5.1% 19.76 10
8 9 STAR OF HEARTS 3.2% 30.80 5
9 11 ABSOLUTE LUCKY 3.0% 32.79 11
10 2 REAL GENTLEMAN 2.9% 34.90 12
11 10 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 2.2% 46.42 7
12 12 LIGHTNING ACE 1.9% 52.00 4
SUPERB SPIRIT — wonLUCRATIVE EIGHTSIGHT DREAMERISLAND BUDDYINCREDIBLE MOMENTMABUBULEAN FLYERSTAR OF HEARTSABSOLUTE LUCKYREAL GENTLEMANFORTUNE SUPERNOVALIGHTNING ACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 17

PLACE

1 20

3 12

6 15

QUINELLA

3,6 43

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 25

1,6 44.5

3,6 20.5

FORECAST

3,6 62

TIERCE

3,6,1 176

TRIO

1,3,6 61

FIRST 4

1,3,6,12 1,059

QUARTET

3,6,1,12 5,663

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,11/1,3,6 1,090

6TH DOUBLE

1/3 289

1/6 93.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,7/1,9,11/1,3,6 27,061

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,7/1,9,11/Any Combination 541