Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 09:35

FLAMINGO HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 4 ("FLAMINGO HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. FOREVER FOLKS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C S Shum, won, with SMART FAT CAT second and ENTHRALLED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SMART FAT CAT finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.74 Hammer 8.56

Result

Official · 1:48.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B/TT 1:48.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C S Shum 8 49.0
2 12 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly H/P/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 1 3.7 N
3 2 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 4 5.2 1-1/4
4 6 ABSOLUTE HONOUR Z Purton · F C Lor 3 4.5 2-1/4
5 7 AUTOMATED H/TT R Kingscote · W Y So 14 113.0 3
6 9 AMAZING GAZE Led early B K Teetan · D A Hayes 13 6.7 3-1/4
7 10 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 2 12.0 3-1/4
8 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards 11 25.0 4-1/4
9 14 ON THE LASH B/TT H Y Yuen · P C Ng 10 7.6 4-1/4
10 5 SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 6 38.0 5-3/4
11 4 FLUORESCENCE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 5 107.0 6
12 8 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly PC-/B2/SR2 C L Chau · C H Yip 9 42.0 6-1/4
13 1 CHARITY TOGETHER B/TT E Brown · D Eustace 7 52.0 6-1/4
14 13 SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall 12 37.0 9-3/4
0 FAMILY KNIGHT E-/SR/TT · D J Whyte
0 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FOREVER FOLKS2. SMART FAT CAT+0.05L3. ENTHRALLED+1.25L4. ABSOLUTE HONOUR+2.25L5. AUTOMATED+3L6. AMAZING GAZE+3.25L7. PRESTIGE RICKY+3.25L8. ROMANTIC FANTASY+4.25L9. ON THE LASH+4.25L10. SERANGOON+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SMART FAT CAT (21.0%) finished 2nd — the winner FOREVER FOLKS was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SMART FAT CAT 21.0% 4.76 2
2 6 ABSOLUTE HONOUR 19.6% 5.10 4
3 2 ENTHRALLED 17.2% 5.81 3
4 10 PRESTIGE RICKY 8.5% 11.74 7
5 14 ON THE LASH 6.3% 15.83 9
6 9 AMAZING GAZE 6.0% 16.66 6
7 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY 4.7% 21.06 8
8 8 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 3.1% 31.86 12
9 1 CHARITY TOGETHER 3.0% 33.46 13
10 3 FOREVER FOLKS 2.7% 37.27 1
11 5 SERANGOON 2.6% 38.85 10
12 13 SHARPEN BRIGHT 2.6% 39.18 14
13 7 AUTOMATED 1.6% 62.16 5
14 4 FLUORESCENCE 1.0% 97.27 11
SMART FAT CATABSOLUTE HONOURENTHRALLEDPRESTIGE RICKYON THE LASHAMAZING GAZEROMANTIC FANTASYBRIGHT INHERITANCECHARITY TOGETHERFOREVER FOLKS — wonSERANGOONSHARPEN BRIGHTAUTOMATEDFLUORESCENCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 494.5

PLACE

2 21

3 134.5

12 16

QUINELLA

3,12 1,679

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 520

2,12 44.5

3,12 475.5

FORECAST

3,12 4,316

TIERCE

3,12,2 26,280

TRIO

2,3,12 3,087

FIRST 4

2,3,6,12 1,440

QUARTET

3,12,2,6 55,543

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

12/3 4,153

12/12 75