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Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 10:35

SWAN HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 6 ("SWAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MEANINGFUL DRAGON, ridden by J Orman and trained by K W Lui, won, with GORGEOUS VICTORY second and VOYAGE BOSS third. The winner led throughout. The 1.8 favourite GORGEOUS VICTORY finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.74 Hammer 8.56 #11 GORGEOUS VICTORY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:22.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MEANINGFUL DRAGON Wire to wire B 1:22.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K W Lui 6 13.0
2 11 GORGEOUS VICTORY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum 5 1.8 SH
3 9 VOYAGE BOSS B H Y Yuen · F C Lor 2 4.8 1-1/4
4 7 POLAR PATCH B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 9 12.0 2-3/4
5 2 GHORGAN H/TT K C Leung · K L Man 3 10.0 3-1/4
6 10 AMO ERGO SUM K Teetan · B Crawford 1 116.0 4
7 6 ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 4 30.0 4-3/4
8 3 SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · J Richards 11 40.0 5-3/4
9 4 AKERMANIS GOLD Closed strongly E Brown · D Eustace 8 34.0 6-3/4
10 5 CORNERSTONE Closed strongly CP/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 162.0 7-1/2
11 13 PERIDOT Closed strongly H1/P1/TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall 13 19.0 8
12 12 SYNERGY EXPRESS A Badel · J Size 10 73.0 8-3/4
13 8 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang 14 191.0 13
0 QUARTZ LEGEND · C Fownes
0 LOVELY MILES B · P F Yiu
UR 14 SMILING FALCON B H Bentley · K H Ting 7 35.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEANINGFUL DRAGON2. GORGEOUS VICTORY+0.1L3. VOYAGE BOSS+1.25L4. POLAR PATCH+2.75L5. GHORGAN+3.25L6. AMO ERGO SUM+4L7. ROMANTIC LAOS+4.75L8. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+5.75L9. AKERMANIS GOLD+6.75L10. CORNERSTONE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GORGEOUS VICTORY (29.4%) finished 2nd — the winner MEANINGFUL DRAGON was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 GORGEOUS VICTORY 29.4% 3.41 2
2 9 VOYAGE BOSS 12.5% 8.02 3
3 7 POLAR PATCH 10.5% 9.50 4
4 2 GHORGAN 10.0% 10.04 5
5 13 PERIDOT 8.2% 12.21 11
6 3 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 7.0% 14.30 8
7 1 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 6.4% 15.67 1
8 6 ROMANTIC LAOS 5.3% 18.72 7
9 4 AKERMANIS GOLD 3.4% 29.25 9
10 10 AMO ERGO SUM 2.1% 47.86 6
11 12 SYNERGY EXPRESS 1.9% 51.90 12
12 8 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.8% 55.88 13
13 5 CORNERSTONE 1.6% 64.15 10
GORGEOUS VICTORYVOYAGE BOSSPOLAR PATCHGHORGANPERIDOTSUNDAY'S SERENADEMEANINGFUL DRAGON — wonROMANTIC LAOSAKERMANIS GOLDAMO ERGO SUMSYNERGY EXPRESSPRESTIGE SUPERIORCORNERSTONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 138

PLACE

1 30.5

9 16.5

11 11.5

QUINELLA

1,11 110

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 87.5

1,11 47

9,11 19.5

FORECAST

1,11 389

TIERCE

1,11,9 1,557

TRIO

1,9,11 164

FIRST 4

1,7,9,11 282

QUARTET

1,11,9,7 8,744

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

7/1 745

7/11 39