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Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 10:05

SAND MARTIN HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 SEALED 1200m 12 runners

Race 5 ("SAND MARTIN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on SEALED going. MEGA CAPTAIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won, with PEJIBAYE second and HAPPY SHOOTER third. The 4.1 favourite ONE MAN SHOW finished 11th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.74 Hammer 8.56

Result

Official · 1:09.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 MEGA CAPTAIN H1/TT 1:09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 9 7.1
2 2 PEJIBAYE PC/TT J Orman · C Fownes 11 6.2 3/4
3 3 HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 2 6.3 3/4
4 1 JUICY DRAGON V E Brown · K L Man 7 6.9 1-1/4
5 6 CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 10 11.0 3-1/4
6 12 FASHION LEGEND B2/TT H Bentley · D Eustace 12 15.0 4-1/2
7 10 SUPER RUBICK KID B-/XB-/P1 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 5 99.0 4-3/4
8 4 LUCKY DOCTOR B-/TT2 C L Chau · P C Ng 8 74.0 5-3/4
9 9 CAP LINER B-/PC1/TT A Badel · J Richards 6 20.0 5-3/4
10 8 DAY DAY VICTORY H Y Yuen · C W Chang 3 7.6 6-3/4
11 5 ONE MAN SHOW CP/XB/TT P N Wong · F C Lor 1 4.1 9
12 11 TOPSPIN KING XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 98.0 10-3/4
0 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT K Teetan · M Newnham
0 MY TRIUMPH H- · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEGA CAPTAIN2. PEJIBAYE+0.75L3. HAPPY SHOOTER+0.75L4. JUICY DRAGON+1.25L5. CALIFORNIA BAY+3.25L6. FASHION LEGEND+4.5L7. SUPER RUBICK KID+4.75L8. LUCKY DOCTOR+5.75L9. CAP LINER+5.75L10. DAY DAY VICTORY+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ONE MAN SHOW (26.5%) finished 11th — the winner MEGA CAPTAIN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 ONE MAN SHOW 26.5% 3.77 11
2 2 PEJIBAYE 15.9% 6.30 2
3 7 MEGA CAPTAIN 13.3% 7.49 1
4 3 HAPPY SHOOTER 12.5% 7.97 3
5 1 JUICY DRAGON 7.4% 13.45 4
6 8 DAY DAY VICTORY 6.8% 14.78 10
7 6 CALIFORNIA BAY 6.5% 15.40 5
8 9 CAP LINER 4.5% 22.02 9
9 12 FASHION LEGEND 2.9% 34.47 6
10 10 SUPER RUBICK KID 1.5% 68.72 7
11 11 TOPSPIN KING 1.2% 85.69 12
12 4 LUCKY DOCTOR 1.0% 102.05 8
ONE MAN SHOWPEJIBAYEMEGA CAPTAIN — wonHAPPY SHOOTERJUICY DRAGONDAY DAY VICTORYCALIFORNIA BAYCAP LINERFASHION LEGENDSUPER RUBICK KIDTOPSPIN KINGLUCKY DOCTOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 71

PLACE

2 25

3 18

7 23

QUINELLA

2,7 253.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 68

2,7 92

3,7 83.5

FORECAST

7,2 555

TIERCE

7,2,3 2,416

TRIO

2,3,7 460

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 297

QUARTET

7,2,3,1 7,915

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

12/3/2 6,003

12/3/7 38,549

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,12/2,3,7 103,698

4TH DOUBLE

3/2 711

3/7 4,754.5