Sha Tin · 2026-06-13 · 08:30
SHEARWATER HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("SHEARWATER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-13 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. COUNTRY DANCER, ridden by E Brown and trained by J Size, won, with ALWAYS FLUKE second and VERBIER third. The 4.2 favourite ROBOT KNIGHT finished 8th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COUNTRY DANCER E 1:09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 3 | 8.9 | — |
| 2 | 4 | ALWAYS FLUKE B/H/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 5 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | VERBIER B-/TT- L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 4 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | THE ALL ROUNDER PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | CRAZY TREASURE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | AQUAMAN B1/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ROBOT KNIGHT B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 4.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HANDSOME BLOND B-/E R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 2 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | VON BAER B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 8 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | MONEY TYCOON M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 56.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER CP · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DASH B/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 5 | CIRRUS SPEED H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 28.3% | 3.53 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 12.5% | 7.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR | 9.7% | 10.34 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | COUNTRY DANCER | 9.5% | 10.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 9.1% | 10.98 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | VERBIER | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | CRAZY TREASURE | 7.3% | 13.66 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | VON BAER | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | MONEY TYCOON | 3.6% | 27.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | AQUAMAN | 3.6% | 27.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | HANDSOME BLOND | 2.2% | 45.41 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 89.5
PLACE
4 19.5
8 25.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
4,8 252
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 86.5
4,12 50.5
8,12 69
FORECAST
8,4 526
TIERCE
8,4,12 2,546
TRIO
4,8,12 407
FIRST 4
4,7,8,12 712
QUARTET
8,4,12,7 20,640
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/4 18.5
6/8 213