沙田 · 2019-09-15
第 6場
2019-09-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的MONKEY JEWELLERY勝出，贏出SH。FRESH POWER獲得亞軍；LUCKY GUY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MONKEY JEWELLERY 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | FRESH POWER TT G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY GUY TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 7 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | COLORADO HIGH C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FOODIE PRINCESS TT1 T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 4 | 165.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GLITTERING ARMOUR XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BRIGHT KID B/XB A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SHINEALOT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | BINGO B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | CHEERFUL LEADER H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 8 | 200.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEEDY MISSILE H1 U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 12 | 72.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 27.5% | 3.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY GUY | 12.6% | 7.95 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | GLITTERING ARMOUR | 11.5% | 8.66 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | FRESH POWER | 10.1% | 9.95 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 7.8% | 12.90 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | COLORADO HIGH | 5.8% | 17.23 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | BINGO | 5.7% | 17.63 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 4.6% | 21.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SHINEALOT | 3.8% | 26.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 3.0% | 33.10 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 0.7% | 137.32 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 27.5
PLACE
5 21
6 16
8 27.5
QUINELLA
6,8 182.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 37.5
5,8 95.5
6,8 65
TIERCE
6,8,5 1,124
TRIO
5,6,8 255
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 991
QUARTET
6,8,5,7 13,923
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/6 339.5
3/8 176.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,8/3,6,8/5,6,8 189,991
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,8/3,6,8/Any Combination 1,364