跑馬地 · 2019-12-18
第 5場
2019-12-18跑馬地第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGHLY PROACTIVE勝出，贏出3/4。MONKEY JEWELLERY獲得亞軍；MY ALLY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/TT 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MY ALLY TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 11 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 2 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SILVER FIG S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TANG FLEMING B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 10 | 163.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B1/TT1 C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 65.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BREEDERS' STAR H N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY FAMILY P-/H/TT2 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 4 | 167.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JADE THEATRE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY TIME TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 9.6 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 27.9% | 3.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SILVER FIG | 17.1% | 5.86 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | MY ALLY | 9.0% | 11.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY TIME | 6.2% | 16.12 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN | 5.4% | 18.60 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | BREEDERS' STAR | 4.0% | 25.08 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | JADE THEATRE | 2.5% | 40.25 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 2.1% | 47.06 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.7% | 60.08 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | TANG FLEMING | 0.9% | 112.33 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY FAMILY | 0.7% | 133.77 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 34
PLACE
2 29.5
5 15
10 18
QUINELLA
5,10 84
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 70.5
2,10 85
5,10 36
TIERCE
5,10,2 1,102
TRIO
2,5,10 252
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 2,097
QUARTET
5,10,2,11 22,374
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/2,5,10 387,111
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 266
9/10 97