跑馬地 · 2019-12-18
第 8場
2019-12-18跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的AMAZING STAR勝出，贏出4-1/2。FLYING SWORD獲得亞軍；NAMJONG SINGS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AMAZING STAR 1.08.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 1.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | FLYING SWORD N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 219.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS H-/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | TOP SCORE B/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PERFECT GLORY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 9.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MR PICASSO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 119.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | PLANET STAR B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER WISE P-/H/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 2 | 42.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 11 | 72.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FAIRY TWINS T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | COMFORT LIFE G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AMAZING STAR | 38.9% | 2.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | PERFECT GLORY | 25.8% | 3.88 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | TOP SCORE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE | 6.9% | 14.52 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | NAMJONG SINGS | 6.1% | 16.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | PLANET STAR | 4.9% | 20.55 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN | 2.7% | 37.39 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | MR PICASSO | 2.6% | 38.22 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER WISE | 2.4% | 41.59 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 1.4% | 71.56 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | FLYING SWORD | 0.4% | 229.80 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 13
PLACE
5 21
6 11.5
12 253.5
QUINELLA
6,12 1,234
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 24.5
5,12 1,568.5
6,12 399.5
TIERCE
6,12,5 8,878
TRIO
5,6,12 1,697
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 9,078
QUARTET
6,12,5,8 107,308
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,12/5,12>6,11 231,417
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/6,11 81
10/12 2,552.5