跑馬地 · 2019-12-18
第 6場
2019-12-18跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、P F Yiu訓練的FOCUS勝出，贏出1-1/2。SPLIT OF A SECOND獲得亞軍；SUPER WINNER獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門HAPPY ALUMNI跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FOCUS B1 1.09.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER WINNER H/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 5 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 4 | 2.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | SHOUSON B S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 11 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 7 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | REGENCY POET Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MASTER GALAXY M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 93.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SUNNY DRAGON CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 3 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | PROMISE KEPT XB/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 2 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT1 H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 8 | 167.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MY POWER H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 24.2% | 4.13 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | REGENCY POET | 16.8% | 5.94 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER WINNER | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | FOCUS | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | SHOUSON | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 5.8% | 17.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | PROMISE KEPT | 3.5% | 28.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 3.4% | 29.75 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 3.0% | 32.86 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | SUNNY DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.18 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN | 2.6% | 38.16 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER GALAXY | 1.2% | 83.28 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 154.5
PLACE
1 32
7 16
10 34
QUINELLA
1,10 925
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 86.5
1,10 186
7,10 75
TIERCE
10,1,7 7,935
TRIO
1,7,10 1,110
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 332
QUARTET
10,1,7,3 20,368
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 80
5/10 579