跑馬地 · 2019-12-18
第 4場
2019-12-18跑馬地第4場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA TURBO勝出，贏出N。RED DESERT獲得亞軍；ROMAN IMPERO獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門BALLISTIC KING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT 1.09.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.4 | N |
| 2 | 1 | RED DESERT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | ROMAN IMPERO B H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 4 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 84.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE XB-/B1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HOME MADE B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 167.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 2 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | TOTAL POWER T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 5 | 108.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B/SR1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 67.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 3 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | HARD PROMISE M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 57.0 | 5 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING | 23.3% | 4.28 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 13.6% | 7.33 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 9.9% | 10.12 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.79 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | RED DESERT | 5.7% | 17.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.0% | 33.61 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | ROMAN IMPERO | 2.8% | 36.02 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | TOTAL POWER | 1.6% | 61.95 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | HARD PROMISE | 1.5% | 65.17 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | HOME MADE | 0.9% | 111.31 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 0.7% | 152.61 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 74
PLACE
1 38.5
9 24
12 66
QUINELLA
1,9 294.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 99.5
1,12 470.5
9,12 226.5
TIERCE
9,1,12 11,033
TRIO
1,9,12 2,547
FIRST 4
1,4,9,12 1,682
QUARTET
9,1,12,4 41,852
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
11/1 1,261
11/9 3,961.5