沙田 · 2020-01-05
第 1場
2020-01-05沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C H Yip訓練的TRUST ME勝出，贏出1-1/2。PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；BELLA BABY獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門WILD WEST WING跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TRUST ME B 0.57.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE H1 S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 3 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | BELLA BABY XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS XB/B1 G van Niekerk · D J Hall | G van Niekerk | D J Hall | 14 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HAPPY VICTORY K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 2 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE B1/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | WINNER'S HEART Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | SACRED TIMING A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 11 | 93.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER GALAXY T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 13 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | TREASURE CHEST B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINNER'S HEART | 33.9% | 2.95 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | WILD WEST WING | 21.5% | 4.66 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 10.5% | 9.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 6.1% | 16.48 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | TRUST ME | 4.3% | 23.37 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 3.8% | 26.17 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | BELLA BABY | 3.7% | 26.81 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY VICTORY | 3.0% | 32.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.7% | 36.43 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE | 2.7% | 36.75 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE | 2.4% | 41.74 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | SACRED TIMING | 2.2% | 46.18 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | TREASURE CHEST | 1.8% | 56.50 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | MASTER GALAXY | 1.4% | 69.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 149
PLACE
6 53
12 42.5
13 88.5
QUINELLA
6,12 1,515.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,12 471.5
6,13 1,081
12,13 376
TIERCE
12,6,13 75,924
TRIO
6,12,13 10,822
FIRST 4
4,6,12,13 24,993
QUARTET
12,6,13,4 814,983
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 45
A3 —