沙田 · 2020-01-05
第 3場
2020-01-05沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、C S Shum訓練的BALTIC WHISPER勝出，贏出N。KA YING MASTER獲得亞軍；ALL IN MIND獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門UTOPIA LIFE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BALTIC WHISPER TT 0.56.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 10 | 8.0 | N |
| 2 | 13 | KA YING MASTER TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | ALL IN MIND XB1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | UTOPIA LIFE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | LARSON CP1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY P- J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY TIME TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 13 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | KASI FARASI H/TT T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | 2 | 59.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | GOKO B/TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 12 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | REYNOLDS B1/SR1/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | SO GLORIOUS H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 154.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VALIANT DREAM A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL IN MIND | 21.2% | 4.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | UTOPIA LIFE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOKO | 9.9% | 10.10 | 12 |
| 4 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 8.7% | 11.51 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | BALTIC WHISPER | 8.6% | 11.65 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | COMFORT LIFE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER JUNIOR | 7.6% | 13.21 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | LARSON | 6.0% | 16.68 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 4.4% | 22.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY TIME | 3.4% | 29.17 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | KASI FARASI | 2.6% | 38.46 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | KA YING MASTER | 2.5% | 40.69 | 2 |
| 13 | 6 | REYNOLDS | 1.9% | 52.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.6% | 171.09 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 80.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 23.5
13 32
QUINELLA
4,13 451.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 101.5
3,13 148.5
4,13 130.5
TIERCE
4,13,3 7,142
TRIO
3,4,13 1,069
FIRST 4
3,4,8,13 864
QUARTET
4,13,3,8 23,263
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 255.5
4/13 91.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —