沙田 · 2020-01-05
第 5場
2020-01-05沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WILL POWER勝出，贏出2-1/4。DOLLAR REWARD獲得亞軍；FORTUNE HAPPINESS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WILL POWER XB 1.09.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 1 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | PLEASANT GUY K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | POWER KING H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 126.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | COOLCELEB B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL B/XB T H So · A T Millard | T H So | A T Millard | 5 | 96.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BULB ELITE B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 18.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 31.6% | 3.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | WILL POWER | 20.6% | 4.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | POWER KING | 15.9% | 6.29 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD | 8.7% | 11.56 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR | 4.9% | 20.55 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL | 4.7% | 21.27 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB ELITE | 3.4% | 29.53 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN | 2.8% | 36.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | PLEASANT GUY | 2.6% | 38.89 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | COOLCELEB | 1.9% | 51.63 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR | 1.7% | 59.24 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL | 1.3% | 79.19 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17
PLACE
1 12
2 25
3 23.5
QUINELLA
1,2 77
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 36
1,3 36.5
2,3 89.5
TIERCE
1,2,3 373
TRIO
1,2,3 127
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 1,586
QUARTET
1,2,3,11 10,990
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 254.5
7/2 145.5