Sha Tin · 2020-01-05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WILL POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with DOLLAR REWARD second and FORTUNE HAPPINESS third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WILL POWER XB 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 1 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | PLEASANT GUY K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | POWER KING H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 126.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | COOLCELEB B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL B/XB T H So · A T Millard | T H So | A T Millard | 5 | 96.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BULB ELITE B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 18.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 31.6% | 3.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | WILL POWER | 20.6% | 4.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | POWER KING | 15.9% | 6.29 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD | 8.7% | 11.56 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR | 4.9% | 20.55 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPREME PATROL | 4.7% | 21.27 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB ELITE | 3.4% | 29.53 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN | 2.8% | 36.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | PLEASANT GUY | 2.6% | 38.89 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | COOLCELEB | 1.9% | 51.63 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR | 1.7% | 59.24 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE PATROL | 1.3% | 79.19 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 17
PLACE
1 12
2 25
3 23.5
QUINELLA
1,2 77
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 36
1,3 36.5
2,3 89.5
TIERCE
1,2,3 373
TRIO
1,2,3 127
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 1,586
QUARTET
1,2,3,11 10,990
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 254.5
7/2 145.5