Sha Tin · 2020-01-05
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-05 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHEFANO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with RELIABLE TEAM second and ENJOYING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEFANO Closed strongly CP 1.46.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 1 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | RELIABLE TEAM Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ENJOYING Closed strongly B/XB S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 11 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly H/P/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RED WARRIOR TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS Closed strongly K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | EASY GO EASY WIN B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | THE HULK XB/TT1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 2 | 131.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER H- K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 46.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | CLASSIC BEAUTY Led early B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 9 | 106.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEFANO | 27.7% | 3.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | RELIABLE TEAM | 21.9% | 4.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 14.2% | 7.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER OASIS | 8.5% | 11.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 4.1% | 24.11 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | ENJOYING | 3.0% | 33.34 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS | 3.0% | 33.89 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.9% | 34.57 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | THE HULK | 2.8% | 35.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | RED WARRIOR | 2.7% | 37.59 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | ENRICHMENT | 2.4% | 41.35 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 1.5% | 68.66 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 1.4% | 71.24 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 29
PLACE
3 14.5
8 54.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
3,14 89
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 127.5
3,14 39.5
8,14 190
TIERCE
3,14,8 3,125
TRIO
3,8,14 645
FIRST 4
3,5,8,14 1,604
QUARTET
3,14,8,5 22,162
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 647.5
2/14 243