Sha Tin · 2020-01-05
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS Wire to wire B/TT 1.23.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 14 | 109.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · T P Yung | S De Sousa | T P Yung | 4 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ART OF RAW Closed strongly H2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERB AGILITY H/V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 142.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CAPTAIN BOSS Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 13 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 2.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | TIGERLAD B-/V1 K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 5 | 75.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS B/H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT G van Niekerk · W Y So | G van Niekerk | W Y So | 8 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON B/H/XB T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-05 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPREME WITNESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and WINWIN THIRTYTHREE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.5 favourite THE FULL BLOOM finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 17.6% | 5.67 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS | 16.5% | 6.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP | 13.2% | 7.57 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 11.0% | 9.13 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 7.6% | 13.20 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER | 7.5% | 13.30 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON | 7.0% | 14.33 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | CAPTAIN BOSS | 5.0% | 19.89 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.1% | 24.29 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 3.4% | 29.00 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD | 2.4% | 42.36 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 2.3% | 43.34 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | TIGERLAD | 1.2% | 80.60 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPERB AGILITY | 1.2% | 86.67 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 131
PLACE
3 17.5
7 29
10 43
QUINELLA
7,10 860.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 102
3,10 115
7,10 274.5
TIERCE
7,10,3 7,376
TRIO
3,7,10 934
FIRST 4
3,7,10,14 20,626
QUARTET
7,10,3,14 394,599
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,13/3,7,10 101,336
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 30
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/7 666.5
4/10 149