Sha Tin · 2020-01-05
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT 1.48.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 10 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | KING'S MAN Closed strongly V N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 9 | 50.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING SATCHMO B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Led early B S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 8 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 14 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER B/H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | AEROFLASH B- L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 97.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI RUSKY H M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 149.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | DYNASTA B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 13 | 52.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL FAMILY K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 183.0 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-05 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with GOD OF DRAGON second and HAPPY WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 22.5% | 4.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 19.2% | 5.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 11.1% | 9.01 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING SATCHMO | 8.2% | 12.23 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 6.5% | 15.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | KING'S MAN | 5.7% | 17.63 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 4.5% | 22.01 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | DYNASTA | 3.7% | 26.79 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 3.5% | 28.43 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 2.4% | 41.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL FAMILY | 0.8% | 132.52 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 0.7% | 139.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | AEROFLASH | 0.7% | 152.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 34
PLACE
2 17.5
5 30.5
12 15.5
QUINELLA
2,12 113
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 75
2,12 41
5,12 76.5
TIERCE
12,2,5 1,232
TRIO
2,5,12 185
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 149
QUARTET
12,2,5,3 3,177
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 12.5
1/12 63
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,10/1,2,3/2,5,12 446,167
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,10/1,2,3/Any Combination 1,579