Sha Tin · 2020-01-05
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly H1/TT1 1.21.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FUN Led early B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 5 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DECRYPT Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TAKING AIM Closed strongly S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MR CROISSANT CP A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 145.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE BOOTH Closed strongly PC-/CP2 T Piccone · J Moore | T Piccone | J Moore | 10 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH B- C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 14 | 179.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | HELENA BABY N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 8 | 45.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MR SO AND SO TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 76.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL TRINITY M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 13 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-05 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LEGACY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with HAPPY FUN second and DECRYPT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite HAPPY FUN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FUN | 14.8% | 6.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | DECRYPT | 13.9% | 7.17 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MR CROISSANT | 12.4% | 8.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 6.6% | 15.08 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.6% | 21.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | HELENA BABY | 3.9% | 25.85 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 3.8% | 26.42 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 3.8% | 26.61 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL TRINITY | 3.6% | 28.16 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE BOOTH | 3.4% | 29.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | MR SO AND SO | 1.8% | 55.57 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA | 1.1% | 90.82 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.0% | 103.91 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 90.5
PLACE
1 19
3 27
10 14.5
QUINELLA
3,10 128.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 72
1,10 34
3,10 49
TIERCE
3,10,1 1,229
TRIO
1,3,10 172
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 374
QUARTET
3,10,1,11 10,188
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 29
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,14/1,3,10 24,402
9TH DOUBLE
3/3 189.5
3/10 20
SIX UP
1,2/2,12/2,10/2,6/3,14/3,10 4,771
1/12/2/2/3/3 2,179,157
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/3/3 3,917
2/3/10 384