沙田 · 2020-02-02
第 1場
2020-02-02沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPREME WITNESS勝出，贏出1。ALLOY STAR獲得亞軍；BREEZE OF SPRING獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門WAYFOONG STAR跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPREME WITNESS B/TT 1.10.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ALLOY STAR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 81.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP/H G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 8 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | COOL ACE CP1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | INTERSTELLAR H/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 12 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 69.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | M M JOHNNY L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | OLD HAVANA P K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 7 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WAYFOONG STAR XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 1.9 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | GLENEALY PALS XB/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 290.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BRAVERY AND POWER H/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 5 | 167.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WAYFOONG STAR | 38.2% | 2.62 | 10 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPREME WITNESS | 31.4% | 3.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 5.0% | 19.87 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | READY CONQUEROR | 3.8% | 26.55 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | ALLOY STAR | 3.2% | 31.05 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | COOL ACE | 3.1% | 31.75 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | OLD HAVANA | 3.0% | 32.84 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | INTERSTELLAR | 1.7% | 57.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | M M JOHNNY | 1.7% | 60.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 1.3% | 79.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | GLENEALY PALS | 0.5% | 187.56 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 59
PLACE
3 158
9 12.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
3,12 1,887.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 321
3,12 506
9,12 32.5
TIERCE
12,3,9 12,937
TRIO
3,9,12 1,944
FIRST 4
3,4,9,12 3,955
QUARTET
12,3,9,4 90,764
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 33
A1 —