沙田 · 2020-02-02
第 8場
2020-02-02沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的HONG KONG WIN勝出，贏出N。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；HARMONY AND RICH獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門VALIANT DREAM跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN B 0.56.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 8 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 14 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH H- Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | KA YING MASTER TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 2 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | KASI FARASI H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 148.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY PUZZLE H1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 452.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | LARSON CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | DRAGON HAS LANDED CP1/TT1 T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 6 | 155.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | BEAUT BEAUT H/V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 130.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | GOKO B/TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 13 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | NUREMBERG B1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 52.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 9 | 36.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN | 24.1% | 4.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | VALIANT DREAM | 13.5% | 7.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | KA YING MASTER | 12.2% | 8.22 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH | 11.9% | 8.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE | 9.7% | 10.26 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER | 6.4% | 15.68 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | NUREMBERG | 5.9% | 16.84 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | DRAGON HAS LANDED | 4.2% | 23.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | LARSON | 3.5% | 28.25 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | GOKO | 3.1% | 32.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPER JUNIOR | 3.0% | 33.78 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | BEAUT BEAUT | 1.1% | 90.04 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | KASI FARASI | 0.9% | 110.40 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 0.5% | 190.81 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 64
PLACE
2 21
5 17
8 14
QUINELLA
2,8 122
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 63
2,8 48
5,8 32
TIERCE
2,8,5 1,185
TRIO
2,5,8 176
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 255
QUARTET
2,8,5,10 7,626
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 16
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 882
10/8 105