沙田 · 2020-02-02
第 10場
2020-02-02沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、C S Shum訓練的BUTTERFIELD勝出，贏出1/2。COLUMBUS COUNTY獲得亞軍；HIGH REV獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門SUPER OASIS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 XB/TT 1.46.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY 後段發力 H/XB Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | HIGH REV 後段發力 B/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR 後段發力 XB/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NICCONI EXPRESS 後段發力 P B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 4 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | ENRICHMENT 後段發力 B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 11 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | SAVVY NINE TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 10 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ENJOYING 後段發力 B/XB S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 12 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | AMAZING BEATS K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 79.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CLASSIC BEAUTY 早段領放 B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 14 | 213.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 115.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 131.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 2 | SAVVY SIX M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 28.4% | 3.52 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | HIGH REV | 7.7% | 13.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 6.6% | 15.22 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.2% | 16.15 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 5.6% | 17.81 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | ENJOYING | 5.1% | 19.68 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 4.5% | 22.00 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | SAVVY NINE | 4.0% | 25.08 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | AMAZING BEATS | 4.0% | 25.16 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ENRICHMENT | 3.1% | 32.68 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.9% | 34.47 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 1.6% | 60.71 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 126
PLACE
8 16
10 36
13 36.5
QUINELLA
8,10 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 88.5
8,13 113.5
10,13 263
TIERCE
10,8,13 7,387
TRIO
8,10,13 1,094
FIRST 4
6,8,10,13 956
QUARTET
10,8,13,6 30,194
3 PICK 1
A3 39.5
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/8,10,13 319,458
9TH DOUBLE
8/8 10.5
8/10 252
SIX UP
4,5/5,12,13/1,10/2,8/1,8/8,10 708
4/5,13/10/2/8/10 310,688
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/8/8 71
2/8/10 2,268