Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly XB/TT 1.46.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NICCONI EXPRESS Closed strongly P B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 4 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 11 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY NINE TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 10 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOYING Closed strongly B/XB S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 12 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BEATS K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 79.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY Led early B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 14 | 213.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 115.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 131.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SAVVY SIX M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BUTTERFIELD, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with COLUMBUS COUNTY second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SUPER OASIS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 28.4% | 3.52 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH REV | 7.7% | 13.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 6.6% | 15.22 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.2% | 16.15 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 5.6% | 17.81 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYING | 5.1% | 19.68 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 4.5% | 22.00 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.0% | 25.08 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BEATS | 4.0% | 25.16 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 3.1% | 32.68 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.9% | 34.47 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 1.6% | 60.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 126
PLACE
8 16
10 36
13 36.5
QUINELLA
8,10 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 88.5
8,13 113.5
10,13 263
TIERCE
10,8,13 7,387
TRIO
8,10,13 1,094
FIRST 4
6,8,10,13 956
QUARTET
10,8,13,6 30,194
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 39.5
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/8,10,13 319,458
9TH DOUBLE
8/8 10.5
8/10 252
SIX UP
4,5/5,12,13/1,10/2,8/1,8/8,10 708
4/5,13/10/2/8/10 310,688
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/8/8 71
2/8/10 2,268