Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONICA Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 2 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 8.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 6 | 86.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 10 | 73.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MONEY BACK B S De Sousa · P O'Sullivan | S De Sousa | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 9.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 9 | 375.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Led early B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BELLAGIO B H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 7 | 28.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MONICA, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER ELEGANCE second and LAKESHORE EAGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SUPER ELEGANCE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MONICA | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 10.1% | 9.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STIMULATION | 8.5% | 11.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY BACK | 6.7% | 14.83 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BELLAGIO | 6.5% | 15.35 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 6.0% | 16.66 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 3.4% | 29.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 2.3% | 44.44 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 1.3% | 77.85 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.1% | 95.04 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 33.5
PLACE
3 23.5
4 13
5 12
QUINELLA
4,5 43.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 54.5
3,5 38
4,5 20.5
TIERCE
4,5,3 405
TRIO
3,4,5 98
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 176
QUARTET
4,5,3,2 1,840
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 128
3/5 21