Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EIGHT TRIGRAMS, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with TEAM POWER second and JADE PHOENIX third. The 1.8 favourite POWER KING finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/XB/TT1 1.09.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | TEAM POWER S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | JADE PHOENIX J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | JUNEAU PARK K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | POWER KING H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WONDER EXPRESS TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | V CHEVALIERS H/P H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 267.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | REGENCY POET XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 65.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY ICHIBAN P1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 173.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 153.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | ONE HAPPY STAR G van Niekerk · C H Yip | G van Niekerk | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 2 | SMART CHARADE H-/B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 25.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JADE PHOENIX | 30.2% | 3.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | POWER KING | 26.3% | 3.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | JUNEAU PARK | 15.0% | 6.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | TEAM POWER | 10.5% | 9.50 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.8% | 17.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | WONDER EXPRESS | 3.9% | 25.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | REGENCY POET | 2.3% | 43.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 2.2% | 45.06 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE | 1.8% | 54.56 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER | 1.2% | 84.05 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | V CHEVALIERS | 0.8% | 132.99 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 174.5
PLACE
6 15
9 16
10 34
QUINELLA
9,10 530.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 56.5
6,10 107.5
9,10 137.5
TIERCE
10,9,6 6,527
TRIO
6,9,10 824
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 866
QUARTET
10,9,6,3 27,354
1ST DOUBLE
12/9 96.5
12/10 819.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 34
A1 —