Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly CP-/H/B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 7.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT Led early H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 92.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 4 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 9 | 284.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING CITY CP-/SR-/P1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 107.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RULE THEE K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 81.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST B/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 5 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | ARCATRAZ CP-/XB/B1 K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 2 | 103.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | GENERAL DINO B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 6 | 31.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CLEAR CHOICE, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with HOLY HEART second and VOLPINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VOLPINO | 18.0% | 5.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 8.9% | 11.26 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 5.8% | 17.34 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST | 4.0% | 25.32 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | RULE THEE | 3.9% | 25.38 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.68 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 2.4% | 41.41 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 2.3% | 43.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 1.9% | 51.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | ARCATRAZ | 1.1% | 87.37 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 1.0% | 100.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 110.5
PLACE
1 15.5
3 19.5
10 28.5
QUINELLA
1,10 260
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 48.5
1,10 71.5
3,10 116
TIERCE
10,1,3 3,676
TRIO
1,3,10 485
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 7,062
QUARTET
10,1,3,4 166,071
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
12>5,7,13/1,3,10 9,688
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 45.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
5,13/1 17.5
5,13/10 577