Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.22.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 10 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 3 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 12 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 6 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 9.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKAGE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 7 | 130.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD B/H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 110.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | IRON BRAVO Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 14 | 155.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPTAIN BOSS SR/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 11 | 23.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TRIUMPHAL WIN Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 214.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | FLYING MONKEY TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 52.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SEIZE THE SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with GALAXY RACER second and WINWIN THIRTYTHREE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite VICTORIOUS LEADER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 23.4% | 4.28 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 7.2% | 13.81 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD | 4.5% | 22.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GALAXY RACER | 4.1% | 24.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD | 4.0% | 25.21 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING MONKEY | 3.9% | 25.40 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION | 3.3% | 30.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CAPTAIN BOSS | 2.7% | 37.24 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | TRIUMPHAL WIN | 1.8% | 54.40 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 1.7% | 58.37 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | IRON BRAVO | 1.4% | 72.32 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | ROCKAGE | 1.1% | 93.94 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 71
PLACE
3 20
5 33.5
8 25
QUINELLA
5,8 379
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 127.5
3,8 63
5,8 128.5
TIERCE
8,5,3 3,271
TRIO
3,5,8 513
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 817
QUARTET
8,5,3,10 16,750
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 279.5
10/8 870.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —