Sha Tin · 2020-02-02
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. INNER FLAME, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with INVINCIBLE MISSILE second and KA YING LEGEND third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INNER FLAME XB 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 1.5 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING LEGEND TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 69.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 1 | 41.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | WIND N GRASS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HONEST WAY N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | PERFECT GLORY H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EVEN KEEL H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 223.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | FIRST RESPONDER CP-/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 12 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INNER FLAME | 38.9% | 2.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 13.2% | 7.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 8.1% | 12.31 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 8.0% | 12.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.6% | 21.56 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | PERFECT GLORY | 4.6% | 21.74 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | FIRST RESPONDER | 4.6% | 21.77 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | HONEST WAY | 3.5% | 28.79 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | WIND N GRASS | 3.4% | 29.37 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | KA YING LEGEND | 1.8% | 54.08 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | EVEN KEEL | 0.5% | 187.81 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 15.5
PLACE
1 22
8 11.5
11 112
QUINELLA
1,8 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 34
1,11 694.5
8,11 134.5
TIERCE
8,1,11 2,817
TRIO
1,8,11 1,124
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 646
QUARTET
8,1,11,12 9,171
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 128.5
2/8 107.5