沙田 · 2020-02-02
第 6場
2020-02-02沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、W Y So訓練的FOODIE PRINCESS勝出，贏出1/2。MEGATRON獲得亞軍；THIS ONE'S FOR YOU獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 H-/TT 1.39.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | MEGATRON B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 B T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 14 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | CURLING LUXURY 早段領放 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MISTER MONTE 後段發力 B S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 13 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | KA YING BRILLIANCE P M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | DREAM WARRIORS 後段發力 CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | KELMIMI WINS P1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | GOOD FIT 後段發力 PC/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 30.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | WILLIE WAY 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 48.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | MEGA RED B B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 6 | 34.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | DRAGON COMMANDER N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 6.4 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP H/P H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 72.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 5 | TANG FLEMING C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 29.8% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 17.2% | 5.81 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 14.4% | 6.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | MEGATRON | 7.3% | 13.71 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | DREAM WARRIORS | 6.0% | 16.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 5.7% | 17.43 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | MISTER MONTE | 5.6% | 17.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD FIT | 3.2% | 30.99 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 2.9% | 34.32 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | CURLING LUXURY | 2.4% | 41.78 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | KELMIMI WINS | 2.1% | 47.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | MEGA RED | 1.9% | 52.28 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | WILLIE WAY | 1.4% | 69.63 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 33.5
PLACE
7 15.5
12 31
13 16
QUINELLA
12,13 173
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 76
7,13 33
12,13 69
TIERCE
13,12,7 1,004
TRIO
7,12,13 185
FIRST 4
7,11,12,13 1,293
QUARTET
13,12,7,11 21,017
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/5,13 82
4/12 62.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,14/3,4,5/12>5,7,13 67,242
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,14/3,4,5/Any Combination 1,017