沙田 · 2020-02-23
第 3場
2020-02-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、A T Millard訓練的YEE CHEONG PEGASUS勝出，贏出2。BREEZE OF SPRING獲得亞軍；SUPREME WITNESS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP/H G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPREME WITNESS B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 13 | 49.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | EVAN ALMIGHTY J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | HEZA BEAUTY E1/V1 L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 6 | 145.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION H1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 49.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TEAM POWER C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DIAMOND KING V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 87.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | TAILOR MADE B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 204.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | INTERSTELLAR H/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 11 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | HERO STAR CP1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 7 | 518.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SPEEDY MISSILE B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 55.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | FORTUNE BRILLIANT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.6 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EVAN ALMIGHTY | 19.4% | 5.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTUNE BRILLIANT | 14.7% | 6.81 | 14 |
| 3 | 14 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 13.4% | 7.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | TEAM POWER | 12.2% | 8.22 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPREME WITNESS | 9.5% | 10.50 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 6.6% | 15.25 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 6.1% | 16.31 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | HERO STAR | 5.5% | 18.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION | 4.0% | 24.83 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | INTERSTELLAR | 3.5% | 28.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | HEZA BEAUTY | 1.6% | 63.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | DIAMOND KING | 1.5% | 67.04 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | TAILOR MADE | 1.5% | 67.27 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 0.6% | 169.01 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 22
PLACE
11 25.5
12 76.5
14 14.5
QUINELLA
11,14 98
QUINELLA PLACE
11,12 301.5
11,14 42
12,14 122.5
TIERCE
14,11,12 1,808
TRIO
11,12,14 766
FIRST 4
8,11,12,14 918
QUARTET
14,11,12,8 10,694
2ND DOUBLE
14/11 79
14/14 65
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5