沙田 · 2020-02-23
第 2場
2020-02-23沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的BEST FOR YOU勝出，贏出N。HINYUEN SWIFTNESS獲得亞軍；COURAGEOUS DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B 1.22.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 5 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS 早段領放 B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CARE FREE PRINCE B B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FUN TIMES 後段發力 B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 11 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MISSION SMART 後段發力 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY ICHIBAN P L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 180.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 TT H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 13 | 100.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | NATURAL STORM B1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 90.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | OLD HAVANA P- H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 9 | 214.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 19.3% | 5.19 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | MISSION SMART | 13.4% | 7.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | COMFORT LIFE | 8.9% | 11.26 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | FUN TIMES | 8.9% | 11.28 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | NATURAL STORM | 8.5% | 11.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME | 7.6% | 13.22 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER | 7.2% | 13.90 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.6% | 15.14 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 5.4% | 18.63 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.97 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY MASTER | 1.8% | 56.81 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | OLD HAVANA | 1.5% | 67.31 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 0.9% | 110.86 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 31
PLACE
4 26.5
11 40.5
14 13
QUINELLA
4,14 163
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 157
4,14 60
11,14 65
TIERCE
14,4,11 2,045
TRIO
4,11,14 568
FIRST 4
4,9,11,14 1,241
QUARTET
14,4,11,9 19,028
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 49.5
3/14 128.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —