沙田 · 2020-02-23
第 9場
2020-02-23沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A T Millard訓練的SEATTLE CHOICE勝出，贏出3-1/2。TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得亞軍；HIGH RISE SOLDIER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SEATTLE CHOICE 後段發力 1.21.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 1.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 後段發力 B H Bowman · J Moore | H Bowman | J Moore | 8 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER 後段發力 B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SMOOTHIES 早段領放 TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 155.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | FOLLOW ME 後段發力 TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 10 | 9.4 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B/H M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 150.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES 後段發力 XB1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 64.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | HOME MADE B/TT- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 224.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | UNICORNBABY B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 12 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SALTO OLIMPICO B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 256.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF CP K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 84.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | LOOKING GOOD K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 28.2% | 3.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.9% | 8.39 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 11.7% | 8.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 9.9% | 10.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 8.5% | 11.81 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 6.6% | 15.14 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | UNICORNBABY | 6.3% | 15.97 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | FOLLOW ME | 5.8% | 17.38 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 2.8% | 35.19 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 2.4% | 41.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 2.3% | 42.87 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.4% | 69.51 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | SMOOTHIES | 1.3% | 76.51 | 4 |
| 14 | 8 | HOME MADE | 0.8% | 118.66 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 19
PLACE
3 17.5
5 12
10 32
QUINELLA
3,5 47.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 25
3,10 113
5,10 55.5
TIERCE
5,3,10 660
TRIO
3,5,10 170
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 2,741
QUARTET
5,3,10,7 14,210
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 306.5
12/5 743.5