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Sha Tin · 2020-02-23

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.22.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui 5 3.1 N
2 0 HINYUEN SWIFTNESS Led early B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip 8 11.0 N
3 0 COURAGEOUS DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So 7 12.0 1-1/4
4 0 CARE FREE PRINCE B B Shinn · K L Man 3 10.0 2-1/2
5 0 FUN TIMES Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard 11 7.0 2-1/2
6 0 MISSION SMART Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung 10 5.8 3
7 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN P L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 180.0 3-1/4
8 0 JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C Fownes 13 100.0 3-1/2
9 0 WINNING TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 12 21.0 3-3/4
10 0 NATURAL STORM B1 C Wong · P F Yiu 2 90.0 3-3/4
11 0 OLD HAVANA P- H N Wong · D E Ferraris 9 214.0 3-3/4
12 0 DESTINE JEWELLERY V J Moreira · J Size 14 11.0 4-1/2
13 0 SKYEY SUPREME TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 16.0 4-1/2
14 0 COMFORT LIFE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 1 12.0 6-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with HINYUEN SWIFTNESS second and COURAGEOUS DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEST FOR YOU—2. HINYUEN SWIFTNESS+0.05L3. COURAGEOUS DRAGON+1.25L4. CARE FREE PRINCE+2.5L5. FUN TIMES+2.5L6. MISSION SMART+3L7. HAPPY ICHIBAN+3.25L8. JOY MASTER+3.5L9. WINNING TOGETHER+3.75L10. NATURAL STORM+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DESTINE JEWELLERY (19.3%) finished 12th — the winner BEST FOR YOU was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DESTINE JEWELLERY 19.3% 5.19 12
2 0 MISSION SMART 13.4% 7.44 6
3 0 COMFORT LIFE 8.9% 11.26 14
4 0 FUN TIMES 8.9% 11.28 5
5 0 NATURAL STORM 8.5% 11.71 10
6 0 SKYEY SUPREME 7.6% 13.22 13
7 0 WINNING TOGETHER 7.2% 13.90 9
8 0 BEST FOR YOU 6.6% 15.14 1
9 0 CARE FREE PRINCE 5.4% 18.63 4
10 0 HINYUEN SWIFTNESS 5.3% 18.72 2
11 0 COURAGEOUS DRAGON 4.8% 20.97 3
12 0 JOY MASTER 1.8% 56.81 8
13 0 OLD HAVANA 1.5% 67.31 11
14 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN 0.9% 110.86 7
DESTINE JEWELLERYMISSION SMARTCOMFORT LIFEFUN TIMESNATURAL STORMSKYEY SUPREMEWINNING TOGETHERBEST FOR YOU — wonCARE FREE PRINCEHINYUEN SWIFTNESSCOURAGEOUS DRAGONJOY MASTEROLD HAVANAHAPPY ICHIBAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 31

PLACE

4 26.5

11 40.5

14 13

QUINELLA

4,14 163

QUINELLA PLACE

4,11 157

4,14 60

11,14 65

TIERCE

14,4,11 2,045

TRIO

4,11,14 568

FIRST 4

4,9,11,14 1,241

QUARTET

14,4,11,9 19,028

1ST DOUBLE

3/4 49.5

3/14 128.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 20

A3 —

A2 —