Sha Tin · 2020-02-23
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with HINYUEN SWIFTNESS second and COURAGEOUS DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.22.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 5 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS Led early B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CARE FREE PRINCE B B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FUN TIMES Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 11 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MISSION SMART Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY ICHIBAN P L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 180.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 13 | 100.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | NATURAL STORM B1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 90.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | OLD HAVANA P- H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 9 | 214.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 19.3% | 5.19 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | MISSION SMART | 13.4% | 7.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | COMFORT LIFE | 8.9% | 11.26 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | FUN TIMES | 8.9% | 11.28 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | NATURAL STORM | 8.5% | 11.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME | 7.6% | 13.22 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER | 7.2% | 13.90 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.6% | 15.14 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 5.4% | 18.63 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.97 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY MASTER | 1.8% | 56.81 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | OLD HAVANA | 1.5% | 67.31 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 0.9% | 110.86 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 31
PLACE
4 26.5
11 40.5
14 13
QUINELLA
4,14 163
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 157
4,14 60
11,14 65
TIERCE
14,4,11 2,045
TRIO
4,11,14 568
FIRST 4
4,9,11,14 1,241
QUARTET
14,4,11,9 19,028
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 49.5
3/14 128.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —