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Sha Tin · 2020-02-23

Race 7

4YO GOOD 1800m Course A+3 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with CHAMPION'S WAY second and MORE THAN THIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.45.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.45.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 2.2 1/2
2 2 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly B/TT R Moore · J Size 3 13.0 1/2
3 3 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 10 2.8 1
4 7 ENJOYING Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · J Moore 8 16.0 2-1/2
5 6 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 2 122.0 3-1/4
6 4 BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · J Size 6 7.3 4-1/2
7 10 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu 5 45.0 4-1/2
8 9 SAVVY NINE TT A Badel · J Moore 9 135.0 4-3/4
9 5 PRIVATE SECRETARY H1/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 1 35.0 5
10 8 RELIABLE TEAM Led early G van Niekerk · F C Lor 4 17.0 5-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY2. CHAMPION'S WAY+0.5L3. MORE THAN THIS+1L4. ENJOYING+2.5L5. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+3.25L6. BEAUTY LEGACY+4.5L7. WORLD FAMOUS+4.5L8. SAVVY NINE+4.75L9. PRIVATE SECRETARY+5L10. RELIABLE TEAM+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick MORE THAN THIS (27.3%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MORE THAN THIS 27.3% 3.66 3
2 1 GOLDEN SIXTY 21.3% 4.70 1
3 8 RELIABLE TEAM 18.5% 5.39 10
4 4 BEAUTY LEGACY 12.9% 7.74 6
5 2 CHAMPION'S WAY 5.9% 17.07 2
6 10 WORLD FAMOUS 4.8% 20.68 7
7 5 PRIVATE SECRETARY 3.3% 29.95 9
8 7 ENJOYING 2.7% 36.95 4
9 9 SAVVY NINE 2.0% 50.24 8
10 6 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.3% 79.91 5
MORE THAN THISGOLDEN SIXTY — wonRELIABLE TEAMBEAUTY LEGACYCHAMPION'S WAYWORLD FAMOUSPRIVATE SECRETARYENJOYINGSAVVY NINEPLAYA DEL PUENTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 22

PLACE

1 14.5

2 25

3 10.1

QUINELLA

1,2 114

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 36

1,3 17.5

2,3 42.5

TIERCE

1,2,3 441

TRIO

1,2,3 86

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 147

QUARTET

1,2,3,7 4,038

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,9/1,2,3 1,453

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 12.5

6TH DOUBLE

9/1 44.5

9/2 64

WINNING TRAINER

B4

B3

B2

B1 12.5