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Sha Tin · 2020-02-23

Race 7

4YO GOOD 1800m Course A+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.45.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.45.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 2.2 1/2
2 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly B/TT R Moore · J Size 3 13.0 1/2
3 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 10 2.8 1
4 0 ENJOYING Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · J Moore 8 16.0 2-1/2
5 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 2 122.0 3-1/4
6 0 BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · J Size 6 7.3 4-1/2
7 0 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu 5 45.0 4-1/2
8 0 SAVVY NINE TT A Badel · J Moore 9 135.0 4-3/4
9 0 PRIVATE SECRETARY H1/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 1 35.0 5
10 0 RELIABLE TEAM Led early G van Niekerk · F C Lor 4 17.0 5-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with CHAMPION'S WAY second and MORE THAN THIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. CHAMPION'S WAY+0.5L3. MORE THAN THIS+1L4. ENJOYING+2.5L5. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+3.25L6. BEAUTY LEGACY+4.5L7. WORLD FAMOUS+4.5L8. SAVVY NINE+4.75L9. PRIVATE SECRETARY+5L10. RELIABLE TEAM+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick MORE THAN THIS (27.3%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MORE THAN THIS 27.3% 3.66 3
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 21.3% 4.70 1
3 0 RELIABLE TEAM 18.5% 5.39 10
4 0 BEAUTY LEGACY 12.9% 7.74 6
5 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 5.9% 17.07 2
6 0 WORLD FAMOUS 4.8% 20.68 7
7 0 PRIVATE SECRETARY 3.3% 29.95 9
8 0 ENJOYING 2.7% 36.95 4
9 0 SAVVY NINE 2.0% 50.24 8
10 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.3% 79.91 5
MORE THAN THISGOLDEN SIXTY — wonRELIABLE TEAMBEAUTY LEGACYCHAMPION'S WAYWORLD FAMOUSPRIVATE SECRETARYENJOYINGSAVVY NINEPLAYA DEL PUENTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 22

PLACE

1 14.5

2 25

3 10.1

QUINELLA

1,2 114

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 36

1,3 17.5

2,3 42.5

TIERCE

1,2,3 441

TRIO

1,2,3 86

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 147

QUARTET

1,2,3,7 4,038

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,9/1,2,3 1,453

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12.5

6TH DOUBLE

9/1 44.5

9/2 64

WINNING TRAINER

B2 —

B3 —

B1 12.5

B4 —