Sha Tin · 2020-02-23
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING BEATS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by NOSE, with COLUMBUS COUNTY second and GLORIOUS DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite COLUMBUS COUNTY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS Closed strongly 2.00.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 3 | 2.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB R Moore · A T Millard | R Moore | A T Millard | 2 | 4.9 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly XB1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 4.8 | SH |
| 5 | 3 | CHEFANO Closed strongly CP H Bowman · J Moore | H Bowman | J Moore | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 4 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ENRICHMENT B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 241.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 144.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CLASSIC BEAUTY Led early B H N Wong · J Moore | H N Wong | J Moore | 5 | 199.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER OASIS | 36.1% | 2.77 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 23.9% | 4.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 8.6% | 11.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | CHEFANO | 7.3% | 13.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 5.9% | 16.98 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | HELENE CHARISMA | 5.7% | 17.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 3.3% | 29.87 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS | 3.2% | 31.62 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | ENRICHMENT | 2.7% | 37.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.1% | 48.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 1.2% | 80.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 218
PLACE
2 17
6 12
12 51.5
QUINELLA
6,12 298.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 28
2,12 141.5
6,12 99.5
TIERCE
12,6,2 3,815
TRIO
2,6,12 434
FIRST 4
2,6,7,12 402
QUARTET
12,6,2,7 16,670
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 59
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/6 12
1/12 852.5