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Sha Tin · 2020-02-23

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 2000m Course A+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 2.00.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 AMAZING BEATS Closed strongly 2.00.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 1 21.0 NOSE
2 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/XB Z Purton · C Fownes 3 2.4 NOSE
3 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB R Moore · A T Millard 2 4.9 SH
4 0 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly XB1 J Moreira · F C Lor 7 4.8 SH
5 0 CHEFANO Closed strongly CP H Bowman · J Moore 8 7.2 1-1/2
6 0 HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore 4 22.0 1-1/2
7 0 ENRICHMENT B L Hewitson · J Size 6 11.0 2-1/4
8 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 9 15.0 4-1/4
9 0 GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 10 241.0 4-1/2
10 0 TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So 11 144.0 7-1/4
11 0 CLASSIC BEAUTY Led early B H N Wong · J Moore 5 199.0 11-3/4
— 0 EASY GO EASY WIN A Badel · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING BEATS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by NOSE, with COLUMBUS COUNTY second and GLORIOUS DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite COLUMBUS COUNTY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING BEATS—2. COLUMBUS COUNTY+0.05L3. GLORIOUS DRAGON+0.1L4. SUPER OASIS+0.1L5. CHEFANO+1.5L6. HELENE CHARISMA+1.5L7. ENRICHMENT+2.25L8. HELENE LEADINGSTAR+4.25L9. GLORIOUS ARTIST+4.5L10. TIANCHI MONSTER+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SUPER OASIS (36.1%) finished 4th — the winner AMAZING BEATS was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER OASIS 36.1% 2.77 4
2 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY 23.9% 4.19 2
3 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON 8.6% 11.58 3
4 0 CHEFANO 7.3% 13.79 5
5 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR 5.9% 16.98 8
6 0 HELENE CHARISMA 5.7% 17.46 6
7 0 GLORIOUS ARTIST 3.3% 29.87 9
8 0 AMAZING BEATS 3.2% 31.62 1
9 0 ENRICHMENT 2.7% 37.01 7
10 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 2.1% 48.40 10
11 0 CLASSIC BEAUTY 1.2% 80.60 11
SUPER OASISCOLUMBUS COUNTYGLORIOUS DRAGONCHEFANOHELENE LEADINGSTARHELENE CHARISMAGLORIOUS ARTISTAMAZING BEATS — wonENRICHMENTTIANCHI MONSTERCLASSIC BEAUTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 218

PLACE

2 17

6 12

12 51.5

QUINELLA

6,12 298.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 28

2,12 141.5

6,12 99.5

TIERCE

12,6,2 3,815

TRIO

2,6,12 434

FIRST 4

2,6,7,12 402

QUARTET

12,6,2,7 16,670

3 PICK 1

A3 59

A1 —

A2 —

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/6 12

1/12 852.5