Sha Tin · 2020-02-23
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B 2.02.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Moore | H Bowman | J Moore | 6 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 8 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 11 | 86.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINEALOT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Led early B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 7.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 13 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | EXALTATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 79.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 4 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KING'S MAN Closed strongly V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY H C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 7 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD B- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 108.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. LONDON HALL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with ABOVE second and HAPPY ROCKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 35.7% | 2.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 12.7% | 7.85 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE | 12.6% | 7.96 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 10.3% | 9.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 4.8% | 20.98 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S MAN | 4.5% | 22.22 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 4.2% | 23.83 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 4.2% | 24.07 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 3.4% | 29.39 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | EXALTATION | 2.1% | 48.17 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 2.0% | 51.06 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.4% | 70.68 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.2% | 82.41 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 1.1% | 94.01 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 24.5
PLACE
5 15.5
8 15
13 101
QUINELLA
5,8 62.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 28
5,13 165
8,13 268
TIERCE
5,8,13 2,036
TRIO
5,8,13 615
FIRST 4
1,5,8,13 5,235
QUARTET
5,8,13,1 48,484
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
11,12,14/5,8,13 71,553
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
14/5 57
14/8 18.5