Sha Tin · 2020-02-23
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD BEAUTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with STAR LUCK second and ALL IN MIND third. The 2.4 favourite VICTORIAM finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT 1.09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 1 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | STAR LUCK H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ALL IN MIND XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | UNIQUE TREASURE H-/P1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 164.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | VICTORIAM J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 13 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 5 | 92.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | SPECIAL STARS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 64.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | GRATEFUL HEART CP1/TT1 G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HERCULES L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 9 | 99.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY PUZZLE H-/SR1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 102.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 43.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | STAY CHILL H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 7 | 255.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 179.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | BRAVE KING B1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 10 | 228.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD BEAUTY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORIAM | 23.7% | 4.22 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ALL IN MIND | 10.5% | 9.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | GRATEFUL HEART | 9.5% | 10.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 13 | STAR LUCK | 5.7% | 17.46 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | SPECIAL STARS | 4.7% | 21.41 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.5% | 22.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.5% | 22.41 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | BRAVE KING | 3.3% | 30.70 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER JUNIOR | 1.9% | 51.62 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | STAY CHILL | 1.5% | 65.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | HERCULES | 1.5% | 67.09 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 1.4% | 73.81 | 4 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 1.3% | 79.81 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 36.5
PLACE
2 22.5
4 13
13 21.5
QUINELLA
4,13 163.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 50.5
2,13 95.5
4,13 47.5
TIERCE
4,13,2 1,891
TRIO
2,4,13 398
FIRST 4
2,4,13,14 6,159
QUARTET
4,13,2,14 70,159
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
5/4 72.5
5/13 79.5