沙田 · 2020-03-08
第 5場
2020-03-08沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C W Chang訓練的PRESIDENT'S CHOICE勝出，贏出N。JADE PHOENIX獲得亞軍；SMART CHARADE獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門JUDY'S STAR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 1.09.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX B1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SMART CHARADE B/H2/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | JUDY'S STAR B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING H-/CP G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ALLOY STAR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED FORCE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 229.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BRILLIANT H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 4 | 16.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | WHAT A STORM CP1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 239.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX | 27.6% | 3.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 20.5% | 4.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | JUDY'S STAR | 12.5% | 7.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | ALLOY STAR | 8.4% | 11.93 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.8% | 12.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | SMART CHARADE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | BRILLIANT | 5.1% | 19.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 4.4% | 22.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.3% | 23.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS | 3.1% | 32.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | SPEED FORCE | 1.1% | 87.83 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 446
PLACE
2 48.5
5 14
6 98.5
QUINELLA
5,6 739
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 113.5
2,6 1,016
5,6 208
TIERCE
6,5,2 24,864
TRIO
2,5,6 3,472
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 11,323
QUARTET
6,5,2,7 408,428
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,5,6 61,572
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 39
4TH DOUBLE
1/5 18.5
1/6 1,053.5