沙田 · 2020-03-08
第 3場
2020-03-08沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、D J Hall訓練的CHARGE ON勝出，贏出SH。INCANTO PREPARED獲得亞軍；KING'S RACE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門CIRCUIT HASSLER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 H-/B1 1.22.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | INCANTO PREPARED 後段發力 E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | KING'S RACE B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 4 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | VITAL SPRING 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | LORIZ B-/CP2/TT1 C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER B/H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 CP-/XB-/TT N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 2 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 14 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | READY CONQUEROR B1 G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 8 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | OLD HAVANA 後段發力 H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 11 | 272.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | KA FORTUNE H- M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | DRAGON PRIDE C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 12 | 125.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | BREEDERS' SKY 早段領放 B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | CENTENARY IBIS CP1/XB1 K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 5 | 297.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | INCANTO PREPARED | 23.0% | 4.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | KING'S RACE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 14.2% | 7.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | LORIZ | 9.3% | 10.75 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | MY WINNER | 7.5% | 13.38 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | VITAL SPRING | 6.5% | 15.28 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | BREEDERS' SKY | 5.2% | 19.22 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.6% | 21.84 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | READY CONQUEROR | 3.5% | 28.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | KA FORTUNE | 2.6% | 38.32 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | CHARGE ON | 2.5% | 40.57 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | YES WE CAN | 2.4% | 40.98 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | OLD HAVANA | 1.0% | 97.27 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | CENTENARY IBIS | 0.6% | 168.62 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 158.5
PLACE
1 17.5
10 37.5
11 19
QUINELLA
10,11 447
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 120.5
1,11 46.5
10,11 149
TIERCE
10,11,1 4,301
TRIO
1,10,11 727
FIRST 4
1,10,11,13 703
QUARTET
10,11,1,13 20,776
2ND DOUBLE
3/10 1,800.5
3/11 53
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 38