沙田 · 2020-03-08
第 8場
2020-03-08沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、W Y So訓練的LAKESHORE EAGLE勝出，贏出N。SMART PATCH獲得亞軍；CHEERFUL LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門CHEERFUL LEADER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LAKESHORE EAGLE 後段發力 1.34.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 14 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 14 | CHEERFUL LEADER 後段發力 B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | COT CAMPBELL 後段發力 XB-/B G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARITY GO 後段發力 SR M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 2 | 83.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | WIND GLIDER 後段發力 B/TT1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 365.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER 後段發力 Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MR ALDAN B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER ELEGANCE 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 9.3 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | NUREMBERG B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 341.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | GO BALLISTIC 早段領放 SR M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 7 | 22.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | COBY BA H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 295.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | EARTH TRILOGY CP/XB/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 9 | 42.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 35.8% | 2.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | MR ALDAN | 12.5% | 8.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 8.5% | 11.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | SMART PATCH | 7.4% | 13.48 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | CHARITY GO | 5.8% | 17.29 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | COT CAMPBELL | 3.9% | 25.39 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.5% | 40.37 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 1.9% | 52.12 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | EARTH TRILOGY | 1.3% | 79.26 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | COBY BA | 0.7% | 151.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | WIND GLIDER | 0.6% | 176.52 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | NUREMBERG | 0.6% | 181.41 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 43
PLACE
5 17.5
8 39
14 16
QUINELLA
5,8 252.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 80
5,14 35.5
8,14 73
TIERCE
5,8,14 2,507
TRIO
5,8,14 278
FIRST 4
4,5,8,14 818
QUARTET
5,8,14,4 20,551
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/5,8,14 20,517
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 120.5
6/8 65