Sha Tin · 2020-03-08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly 1.34.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 14 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL Closed strongly XB-/B G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 2 | 83.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WIND GLIDER Closed strongly B/TT1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 365.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 9.3 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 341.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Led early SR M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 7 | 22.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | COBY BA H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 295.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY CP/XB/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 9 | 42.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LAKESHORE EAGLE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by N, with SMART PATCH second and CHEERFUL LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite CHEERFUL LEADER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 35.8% | 2.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 12.5% | 8.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 8.5% | 11.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 7.4% | 13.48 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 5.8% | 17.29 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL | 3.9% | 25.39 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.5% | 40.37 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 1.9% | 52.12 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY | 1.3% | 79.26 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | COBY BA | 0.7% | 151.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 0.6% | 176.52 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 0.6% | 181.41 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 43
PLACE
5 17.5
8 39
14 16
QUINELLA
5,8 252.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 80
5,14 35.5
8,14 73
TIERCE
5,8,14 2,507
TRIO
5,8,14 278
FIRST 4
4,5,8,14 818
QUARTET
5,8,14,4 20,551
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/5,8,14 20,517
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 120.5
6/8 65