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Sha Tin · 2020-03-08

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui 1 1.6 2-1/4
2 0 IRON KING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · C H Yip 8 10.0 2-1/4
3 0 THE RUNNER B K H Chan · D J Whyte 2 7.8 2-3/4
4 0 DESTIN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 6 10.0 3-1/4
5 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E/V G van Niekerk · J Size 13 12.0 3-1/2
6 0 MOON PEAKS Led early B/TT H W Lai · K L Man 10 19.0 3-3/4
7 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B K Teetan · T P Yung 12 14.0 3-3/4
8 0 JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C Fownes 7 127.0 4
9 0 REGENCY MASTER TT N Callan · C S Shum 5 128.0 5-1/2
10 0 FOCUS B/TT- C Schofield · P F Yiu 4 21.0 5-3/4
11 0 V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/P H T Mo · L Ho 11 131.0 6-3/4
12 0 HOME WIN M F Poon · C W Chang 9 104.0 8
13 0 CAMFORD MAGIC M L Yeung · W Y So 3 478.0 9-1/2
14 0 WONDERFUL TIMES B Shinn · A T Millard 14 216.0 38
— 0 POWER KING Z Purton · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC SHOW, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2-1/4, with IRON KING second and THE RUNNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FANTASTIC SHOW—2. IRON KING+2.25L3. THE RUNNER+2.75L4. DESTIN+3.25L5. HEZA BEAUTY+3.5L6. MOON PEAKS+3.75L7. CITY LEGEND+3.75L8. JOY MASTER+4L9. REGENCY MASTER+5.5L10. FOCUS+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FANTASTIC SHOW (46.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FANTASTIC SHOW 46.1% 2.17 1
2 0 DESTIN 7.5% 13.36 4
3 0 IRON KING 7.0% 14.21 2
4 0 FOCUS 6.4% 15.63 10
5 0 MOON PEAKS 5.9% 16.95 6
6 0 THE RUNNER 5.6% 17.88 3
7 0 CITY LEGEND 5.4% 18.54 7
8 0 HEZA BEAUTY 4.9% 20.47 5
9 0 WONDERFUL TIMES 3.4% 29.50 14
10 0 JOY MASTER 2.4% 41.80 8
11 0 REGENCY MASTER 1.8% 54.93 9
12 0 V CHEVALIERS 1.6% 64.42 11
13 0 HOME WIN 1.5% 65.74 12
14 0 CAMFORD MAGIC 0.5% 182.08 13
FANTASTIC SHOW — wonDESTINIRON KINGFOCUSMOON PEAKSTHE RUNNERCITY LEGENDHEZA BEAUTYWONDERFUL TIMESJOY MASTERREGENCY MASTERV CHEVALIERSHOME WINCAMFORD MAGIC

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 16.5

PLACE

1 21

3 12.5

12 27.5

QUINELLA

3,12 84

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 31.5

1,12 114

3,12 38

TIERCE

3,12,1 592

TRIO

1,3,12 189

FIRST 4

1,3,8,12 300

QUARTET

3,12,1,8 3,064

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16.5

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

6/3 777

6/12 507.5