Sha Tin · 2020-03-08
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC SHOW, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2-1/4, with IRON KING second and THE RUNNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 1.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | IRON KING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | THE RUNNER B K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DESTIN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E/V G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 13 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MOON PEAKS Led early B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 127.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | REGENCY MASTER TT N Callan · C S Shum | N Callan | C S Shum | 5 | 128.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | FOCUS B/TT- C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 4 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/P H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 131.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | HOME WIN M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 104.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | CAMFORD MAGIC M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 478.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | WONDERFUL TIMES B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 14 | 216.0 | 38 |
| — | 0 | POWER KING Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 46.1% | 2.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | DESTIN | 7.5% | 13.36 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | IRON KING | 7.0% | 14.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | FOCUS | 6.4% | 15.63 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | MOON PEAKS | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 5.6% | 17.88 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | CITY LEGEND | 5.4% | 18.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 3.4% | 29.50 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | JOY MASTER | 2.4% | 41.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | REGENCY MASTER | 1.8% | 54.93 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | V CHEVALIERS | 1.6% | 64.42 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | HOME WIN | 1.5% | 65.74 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | CAMFORD MAGIC | 0.5% | 182.08 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 16.5
PLACE
1 21
3 12.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
3,12 84
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 31.5
1,12 114
3,12 38
TIERCE
3,12,1 592
TRIO
1,3,12 189
FIRST 4
1,3,8,12 300
QUARTET
3,12,1,8 3,064
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
6/3 777
6/12 507.5