Sha Tin · 2020-03-08
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with JADE PHOENIX second and SMART CHARADE third. The 2.7 favourite JUDY'S STAR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX B1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SMART CHARADE B/H2/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | JUDY'S STAR B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING H-/CP G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ALLOY STAR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED FORCE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 229.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BRILLIANT H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 4 | 16.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | SUPREME WITNESS C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | WHAT A STORM CP1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 239.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX | 27.6% | 3.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 20.5% | 4.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | JUDY'S STAR | 12.5% | 7.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | ALLOY STAR | 8.4% | 11.93 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.8% | 12.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | SMART CHARADE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | BRILLIANT | 5.1% | 19.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 4.4% | 22.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.3% | 23.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS | 3.1% | 32.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | SPEED FORCE | 1.1% | 87.83 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 446
PLACE
2 48.5
5 14
6 98.5
QUINELLA
5,6 739
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 113.5
2,6 1,016
5,6 208
TIERCE
6,5,2 24,864
TRIO
2,5,6 3,472
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 11,323
QUARTET
6,5,2,7 408,428
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,5,6 61,572
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 39
4TH DOUBLE
1/5 18.5
1/6 1,053.5