Sha Tin · 2020-03-08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WILL POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with FLYING GENIUS second and JUST NOT LISTENING third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WILL POWER XB 1.09.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | JUST NOT LISTENING CP-/V1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 10 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING SWORD CP H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LE TERROIR CP M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 12 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | COBY OPPA B-/PC1/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | PATCH BABY B-/XB/H1/TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 1 | 33.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MEGA HEART XB/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 6 | 5.8 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | BRIGHT VISION C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 35.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | MR WEALTH H/P Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 6.8 | 37-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WILL POWER | 24.4% | 4.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | MR WEALTH | 17.3% | 5.79 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | MEGA HEART | 11.8% | 8.46 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | COBY OPPA | 10.1% | 9.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS | 8.0% | 12.45 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.38 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 5.2% | 19.25 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | DOLLAR REWARD | 5.1% | 19.72 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | BRIGHT VISION | 3.1% | 31.76 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING SWORD | 3.1% | 32.11 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | LE TERROIR | 2.9% | 34.80 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | PATCH BABY | 2.5% | 39.70 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 19.5
PLACE
6 12.5
9 43
10 27
QUINELLA
6,9 161
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 60.5
6,10 52
9,10 203.5
TIERCE
6,9,10 1,769
TRIO
6,9,10 507
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 3,971
QUARTET
6,9,10,5 37,245
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
All pools (2 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/6 28
3/9 63.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/1,3,12/Any Combination 17,551