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Sha Tin · 2020-03-08

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.47.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz 3 6.5 N
2 0 ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B M F Poon · J Size 4 11.0 N
3 0 HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Hall 10 9.5 3/4
4 0 HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · J Moore 1 27.0 2
5 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size 11 16.0 2-1/4
6 0 RELIABLE TEAM K Teetan · F C Lor 8 7.5 2-1/4
7 0 CHEFANO Led early CP Z Purton · J Moore 6 4.5 2-1/2
8 0 WINNING DELIGHT Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 5 10.0 2-1/2
9 0 HAPPY DRAGON H N Callan · J Moore 7 48.0 5-1/4
10 0 GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 12 245.0 5-3/4
11 0 BEAUTY LEGACY H/TT J Moreira · J Size 2 3.4 10-1/2
12 0 TIANCHI MONSTER H W Lai · W Y So 9 157.0 13

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HELENE LEADINGSTAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ENRICHMENT second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite BEAUTY LEGACY finished 11th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HELENE LEADINGSTAR—2. ENRICHMENT+0.05L3. HIGH REV+0.75L4. HELENE CHARISMA+2L5. HEZTHEWONFORUS+2.25L6. RELIABLE TEAM+2.25L7. CHEFANO+2.5L8. WINNING DELIGHT+2.5L9. HAPPY DRAGON+5.25L10. GLORIOUS ARTIST+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BEAUTY LEGACY (19.6%) finished 11th — the winner HELENE LEADINGSTAR was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY LEGACY 19.6% 5.11 11
2 0 CHEFANO 16.4% 6.11 7
3 0 WINNING DELIGHT 14.9% 6.71 8
4 0 RELIABLE TEAM 10.6% 9.41 6
5 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR 10.1% 9.92 1
6 0 HIGH REV 6.9% 14.55 3
7 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS 5.4% 18.38 5
8 0 ENRICHMENT 5.0% 19.96 2
9 0 HAPPY DRAGON 4.7% 21.22 9
10 0 GLORIOUS ARTIST 3.1% 32.04 10
11 0 HELENE CHARISMA 2.4% 42.31 4
12 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 0.9% 107.10 12
BEAUTY LEGACYCHEFANOWINNING DELIGHTRELIABLE TEAMHELENE LEADINGSTAR — wonHIGH REVHEZTHEWONFORUSENRICHMENTHAPPY DRAGONGLORIOUS ARTISTHELENE CHARISMATIANCHI MONSTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 65.5

PLACE

7 22.5

9 29

12 39

QUINELLA

7,12 326.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 89.5

7,12 105

9,12 152.5

TIERCE

7,12,9 4,997

TRIO

7,9,12 1,020

FIRST 4

4,7,9,12 3,963

QUARTET

7,12,9,4 65,553

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 22.5

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

5/7 445.5

5/12 112.5