Sha Tin · 2020-03-08
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-08 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HELENE LEADINGSTAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ENRICHMENT second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite BEAUTY LEGACY finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.47.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 12 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Hall | G van Niekerk | D J Hall | 10 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 1 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CHEFANO Led early CP Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | WINNING DELIGHT Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY DRAGON H N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 245.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY H/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.4 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TIANCHI MONSTER H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 9 | 157.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 19.6% | 5.11 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | CHEFANO | 16.4% | 6.11 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING DELIGHT | 14.9% | 6.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM | 10.6% | 9.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | HIGH REV | 6.9% | 14.55 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 5.4% | 18.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | ENRICHMENT | 5.0% | 19.96 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.22 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 3.1% | 32.04 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | HELENE CHARISMA | 2.4% | 42.31 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 0.9% | 107.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 65.5
PLACE
7 22.5
9 29
12 39
QUINELLA
7,12 326.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 89.5
7,12 105
9,12 152.5
TIERCE
7,12,9 4,997
TRIO
7,9,12 1,020
FIRST 4
4,7,9,12 3,963
QUARTET
7,12,9,4 65,553
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/7 445.5
5/12 112.5