沙田 · 2020-04-05
第 1場
2020-04-05沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的TRUST ME勝出，贏出1-1/4。DECISIVE TWELVE獲得亞軍；FABULOUS EIGHT獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門DECISIVE TWELVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TRUST ME B 0.57.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | DECISIVE TWELVE C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 12 | 85.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | REGENCY POET B/XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/XB/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | VALIANT ELEGANCE J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | HERE COMES TED B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 1 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 14 | 89.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SHANGHAI LAD P1/TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 197.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | DREAM TEAM C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | BESTA LUCK B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 7 | 92.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 241.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | MASTERWORK H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 381.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | TRUST ME | 16.0% | 6.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 12.5% | 8.00 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 10.7% | 9.36 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | DREAM TEAM | 9.1% | 11.04 | 11 |
| 6 | 13 | HERE COMES TED | 8.6% | 11.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | REGENCY POET | 4.1% | 24.11 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 3.2% | 31.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | BESTA LUCK | 3.1% | 32.56 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | SHANGHAI LAD | 2.5% | 40.05 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | STAR SUPERIOR | 2.5% | 40.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER | 2.4% | 41.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 1.6% | 61.78 | 4 |
| 14 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 1.1% | 87.90 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 43.5
PLACE
1 16
4 12
6 50.5
QUINELLA
1,4 68
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 27.5
1,6 110
4,6 69
TIERCE
1,4,6 1,065
TRIO
1,4,6 207
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 2,173
QUARTET
1,4,6,2 28,352
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24.5
A3 —