沙田 · 2020-04-05
第 8場
2020-04-05沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、T P Yung訓練的VOYAGE STAR勝出，贏出2-3/4。EPTIWINS獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門DUBLIN STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT 1.10.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 45.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | EPTIWINS B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 3 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO XB/B1 C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 9 | 105.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SPEEDY LUCK CP-/XB2/TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | TRUE LEGEND K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 5.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SO WE JOY CP1/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TAILOR MADE B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 2 | 79.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 12 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 14 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | BRAVE BABY B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 13 | 134.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | WELL DRAGON TT1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 372.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | THIS IS CHARISMA B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | EL JEFE XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 5.7 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | EL JEFE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 14 |
| 3 | 7 | TRUE LEGEND | 16.5% | 6.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 11.0% | 9.06 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | SPEEDY LUCK | 5.8% | 17.34 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.22 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | EPTIWINS | 4.8% | 20.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | SO WE JOY | 4.8% | 21.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | MULTIMAX | 3.2% | 31.48 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | WELL DRAGON | 1.8% | 56.84 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | VOYAGE STAR | 1.7% | 58.31 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | TAILOR MADE | 1.4% | 73.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | BRAVE BABY | 1.3% | 74.79 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.3% | 76.86 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 451.5
PLACE
4 13.5
11 19.5
13 103.5
QUINELLA
11,13 1,103
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 34.5
4,13 230.5
11,13 304.5
TIERCE
13,11,4 14,861
TRIO
4,11,13 978
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 14,057
QUARTET
13,11,4,10 487,075
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 29.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
7/11 495.5
7/13 9,875.5