沙田 · 2020-04-05
第 2場
2020-04-05沙田第2場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、K W Lui訓練的VICTORIAM勝出，贏出1。GREAT TREASURE獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA TURBO獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門TAKE WHAT YOU NEED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VICTORIAM 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 11 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 43.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DRAGON HAS LANDED CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 162.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY SPIRIT XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 56.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE P K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | PURE LEGEND N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 6 | 218.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HERCULES XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 9 | 84.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | LITTLE WISE MAN C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 3 | 148.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VICTORIAM | 28.4% | 3.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 28.0% | 3.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 18.0% | 5.56 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 7.5% | 13.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | LITTLE WISE MAN | 6.9% | 14.59 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | HERCULES | 3.0% | 32.88 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.01 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 2.1% | 48.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | PURE LEGEND | 1.3% | 74.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER JUNIOR | 1.3% | 78.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | DRAGON HAS LANDED | 1.1% | 87.01 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 33.5
PLACE
3 13.5
6 24.5
7 52.5
QUINELLA
3,7 482.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 54.5
3,7 99.5
6,7 219.5
TIERCE
3,7,6 4,343
TRIO
3,6,7 1,134
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 318
QUARTET
3,7,6,2 11,092
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 157
1/7 96.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A1 —
A3 —